Home Space Scientists calculate the chance of a space-faring Tesla car crashing to Earth

Scientists calculate the chance of a space-faring Tesla car crashing to Earth

by Basil Bryan

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In this case, a full-fledged comparison with space rocks would be incorrect, because most asteroids are displaced to the inner part of the solar system from the Main Belt, located between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter. This is due to orbital resonances, and unless there are collisions between the two, the chances of it getting off to an impact trajectory on one planet or another are slim. The story is different with Tesla, because the car’s flight path started from Earth.

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A team of astronomers conducted a series of calculations to understand how under the influence of various factors will change the orbit of Tesla. They found out that in the foreseeable future the maximum approach to the Earth will occur in 2047 – at a distance of up to 5 million kilometres.

But if we take a longer period, the probability of collision with the Earth is estimated at 22%. In second place – the probability of falling on Venus or the Sun – 12% each. But it will happen in thousands or even millions of years, so it is unlikely to affect the value of Tesla shares.

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